The Trump administration is developing a comprehensive post-war strategy for the Middle East that envisions a regional security alliance to contain Iran, expanded diplomatic ties between Israel and Arab nations, and new agreements involving Israel’s neighbors, according to Axios and people familiar with the discussions.
The strategy remains in the early drafting stage and has not been finalized, but it is intended to guide U.S. policy in the region for the remainder of President Donald Trump’s term following the conclusion of the conflict with Iran. President Trump has held two meetings with senior advisers in recent weeks where elements of the potential strategy were discussed, and officials across multiple agencies are also working on the plan. Trump has privately described his plans as “something much bigger” in the Middle East after the war.
Three main elements have emerged as possible pillars of the strategy, according to sources:
Regional Alliance to Contain Iran
One proposal under discussion would create a regional alignment of U.S. partners designed to counter Iran, with the United States playing a security role as guarantor. The framework would tie together U.S. allies in the region in a cooperative security arrangement aimed at preventing Tehran from rebuilding its military influence.
Expanding the Abraham Accords
The administration is also considering ways to advance the next phase of its Gaza policy and pursue agreements involving Israel and Syria and Israel and Lebanon. The Syria proposal would involve a new security arrangement between Israel and Syria, while the Lebanon track would build on a trilateral framework already reached among the United States, Israel and Lebanon in June that called for an eventual end to the state of war between Israel and Lebanon. Axios previously reported in July that Trump had urged Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to redeploy Israeli forces from parts of Syria and Lebanon.
Saudi-Israeli Normalization
The discussions also include expanding the Abraham Accords, the agreements that established diplomatic relations between Israel and several Arab and Muslim-majority countries during Trump’s first administration. Saudi Arabia is viewed as a potentially important addition to that effort. In July, Trump said a U.S.-Saudi civil nuclear agreement was tied to Saudi Arabia joining the Abraham Accords. However, Saudi Arabia has not agreed to normalize relations with Israel, and Saudi officials have continued to link normalization to broader issues involving the Palestinians. The Center for Strategic and International Studies wrote in July that Saudi Arabia had not sought the war with Iran and had concerns about its security and economic consequences, noting that Saudi leaders would weigh the potential security benefits of closer cooperation with Israel against the risks of being associated with Israeli military objectives.
The administration is also considering the timing of the strategy in relation to political developments in Israel and the United States. Israel is scheduled to hold national elections on Oct. 27, and U.S. voters will go to the polls for the November midterm elections. U.S. officials are looking at how the Israeli election could affect the administration’s ability to work with the next Israeli government. But some officials stress that Trump will push to implement the strategy regardless of the Israeli election results—even if they produce a political stalemate.
A source briefed on the process said it will take another few weeks to draft the new strategy. “They are cooking it but it is not yet cooked,” the source said. “The idea is to tie a whole lot of things in the region together—how you create a regional alignment after the war. It is still unclear if all U.S. allies in the region will be on board”.

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