Good morning from MEZIESBLOG!

Welcome back to the UK Politics Hub on this Friday, 5 September.

The PM could be forced into a decision over Angela Rayner’s future as early as today, as the government ethics adviser prepares his verdict on the Labour deputy’s tax affairs.

Rayner, who is also the housing secretary, has been under mounting pressure since she admitted not paying the correct amount of stamp duty on an £800,000 flat in Hove, East Sussex – and the verdict on her conduct could come today.

The pressure on her mounted yesterday when the conveyancing firm – Verrico & Associates – said it did not provide advice and had been made “scapegoats” in the political row.

Sir Keir Starmer has made clear that he is prepared to sack her if the report says she acted improperly somehow.

In other news, party conference season is upon us, with the Reform UK party faithful gathering in Birmingham today and tomorrow to both celebrate the huge momentum they have gathered, and get motivated for the months and years ahead.

Big names due to speak today include Dame Andrea Jenkyns, Zia Yusuf, and the man himself – Nigel Farage.

In terms of official government business, we expect things to be rather quiet, given the tradition of allowing other parties to hold the spotlight during their conferences – but the Ministry of Defence is touting figures showing there has been £1.2bn in foreign investment in defence since July 2024.

Sir Ed Davey will also be out and about discussing mental health, and Kemi Badenoch is also doing a visit this morning.