Can Tory MPs vote out the PM and pick a new one?

Several senior Tories have called for the removal of Boris Johnson as prime minister and leader of the Conservative Party.

Irobiko Chimezie
Boris Johnson

It follows allegations that he and his staff at 10 Downing Street broke Covid rules by holding parties.

For Mr Johnson to be forced from office, Conservative MPs need to bring about a vote of no confidence, and elect a new leader.

Letters of no confidence

Each political party has its own rules for the election – and removal – of its leader.

To trigger a leadership challenge in the Conservative Party, at least 15% of sitting MPs have to write a letter saying they no longer have any confidence in the prime minister.

Given that there are currently 359 Conservative MPs, this works out as 54 MPs.

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These letters are sent to the chairman of the 1922 Committee – the organisation representing all backbench Conservative MPs. Its chairman is currently Sir Graham Brady.

Until and unless the threshold of 15% is reached, nobody but Sir Graham will necessarily know how many MPs have sent in a letter of no confidence (although some MPs, such as Andrew Bridgen, have announced the fact publicly).

However, if the threshold is reached, the 1922 chairman must tell the prime minister to schedule a no-confidence vote.

A no-confidence vote

This is a secret ballot, which usually takes place within days of the no-confidence vote being announced.

To win, Mr Johnson would need to secure a simple majority

Currently, this means he would have to gain 180 votes (half his MPs, plus one) – assuming every Conservative MP casts a vote and nobody abstains.

If Mr Johnson lost, there would be a leadership contest and he would be barred from standing.

If he won, he would be immune from another no-confidence vote for a year.

However, a small majority can also tip the balance.

If Mr Johnson won by only a few votes, it might persuade him to think twice about whether he had enough backing in Parliament.

Mr Johnson’s predecessor, Theresa May, won a no-confidence vote by 200-117 votes in December 2018.

It was large enough to keep her in office but it showed that more than a third of Conservative MPs did not want her as leader. She announced her resignation six months later.

A leadership contest

If Mr Johnson resigned, the 1922 Committee would decide the procedure and set the timetable for a leadership contest.

Leadership candidates need the support of eight fellow Tory MPs – a proposer, a seconder and six others.

If more than two candidates stand, there will be a series of ballots:

  • In the first round, candidates must attract 5% of the votes to stay in the running (18 MPs)
  • In the second round, they must attract 10% (36 MPs)
  • In each subsequent round, the candidate with the least votes is eliminated

When two MPs are left, Conservative Party members around the country will vote.

Both candidates would be expected to take part in debates to put their cases forward to members before the final voting deadline.

If all but one of the candidates withdraw (as happened when Theresa May became leader in 2016), the remaining candidate becomes Conservative Party leader.

Unless there is a general election, the winner of any Tory leadership contest would become prime minister.

This happens formally when the Queen appoints them.